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南半球各类图像自动更新暨非扰动云团专帖（2024年7月－2025年6月）

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pocketbox

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6227

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强台风

Super Typhoon

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6227
发表于 2025-2-9 20:30 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 20U
A tropical low (20U) may form in the western Coral Sea this week.
  • An active trough will persist across north Queensland and the Coral Sea during the next week.
  • A tropical low (20U) may form in the western Coral Sea from Tuesday.
  • There is a Low chance that 20U will develop to a tropical cyclone as it moves south eastwards away from the Queensland coast.
Last updated
3 hours ago, 09:00 am UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Tue 11  Feb 12:00 am Tue 11  Feb 12:00 pm Wed 12  Feb 12:00 am Wed 12  Feb 12:00 pm Thu 13  Feb 12:00 am Thu 13  Feb 12:00 pm Fri 14  Feb 12:00 am Fri 14  Feb 12:00 pm Sat 15  Feb 12:00 am Sat 15  Feb 12:00 pm Sun 16  Feb 12:00 am Sun 16  Feb 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 20U null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 5 (Low) 1 (Very Low) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None)

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pocketbox

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6227

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强台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2025-2-15 10:30 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 21U
A tropical low (21U) may form in the Timor Sea later next week and move westwards.
  • A tropical low (21U) may form mid to late next week in the Timor Sea or Joseph Bonaparte Gulf.
  • 21U will move westwards and is likely to be over open waters to the northwest of the Kimberley or north of the Pilbara by next weekend.
  • There is a low risk that 21U develops into a tropical cyclone from Thursday onwards.
Last updated
3 hours ago, 11:37 pm UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Mon 17  Feb 12:00 am Mon 17  Feb 12:00 pm Tue 18  Feb 12:00 am Tue 18  Feb 12:00 pm Wed 19  Feb 12:00 am Wed 19  Feb 12:00 pm Thu 20  Feb 12:00 am Thu 20  Feb 12:00 pm Fri 21  Feb 12:00 am Fri 21  Feb 12:00 pm Sat 22  Feb 12:00 am
Tropical Low 21U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low)

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pocketbox

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强台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2025-2-15 20:45 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 21U
A tropical low may form in the Timor Sea later next week and move westwards.
  • A tropical low (21U) may form mid to late next week in the Timor Sea or Joseph Bonaparte Gulf.
  • 21U will move westwards and is likely to be over open waters to the northwest of the Kimberley or north of the Pilbara by next weekend.
  • There is a low risk that 21U develops into a tropical cyclone from Thursday onwards.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 08:33 am UTC

Tropical Low 22U
Tropical low possible in the northern Coral Sea late next week.
  • A tropical low (22U) may develop in the northern Coral Sea late next week.
  • At this stage, there is large uncertainty in where any such low might develop.
  • There is a Low risk that 22U develops into a tropical cyclone from Friday.
Last updated
4 hours ago, 09:06 am UTC


Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Mon 17  Feb 12:00 am Mon 17  Feb 12:00 pm Tue 18  Feb 12:00 am Tue 18  Feb 12:00 pm Wed 19  Feb 12:00 am Wed 19  Feb 12:00 pm Thu 20  Feb 12:00 am Thu 20  Feb 12:00 pm Fri 21  Feb 12:00 am Fri 21  Feb 12:00 pm Sat 22  Feb 12:00 am Sat 22  Feb 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 21U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low)
Tropical Low 22U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low)

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pocketbox

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发表于 2025-2-16 21:40 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 21U
Tropical low (21U) may form in the Timor Sea and move westwards over Indian Ocean waters, where it may develop on the weekend.
  • Tropical low (21U) may form mid to late week in the Timor Sea.
  • 21U will move westwards over open Indian Ocean waters, to the north of the Pilbara on the weekend.
  • The environment conditions are favourable for 21U to develop into a tropical cyclone from late weekend.
  • The risk of 21U developing into a tropical cyclone increases to Low (10%) on Thursday and then to Moderate (25%) on Sunday.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:12 am UTC

Tropical Low 22U
Tropical low forecast in the northern Coral Sea late in the week.
  • A tropical low (22U) is forecast to develop in the northern Coral Sea later in the week.
  • The tropical low will most likely move slowly east initially, away from the Queensland coast.
  • There is a Low risk that 22U develops into a tropical cyclone from Friday.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:56 am UTC


Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Tue 18  Feb 12:00 am Tue 18  Feb 12:00 pm Wed 19  Feb 12:00 am Wed 19  Feb 12:00 pm Thu 20  Feb 12:00 am Thu 20  Feb 12:00 pm Fri 21  Feb 12:00 am Fri 21  Feb 12:00 pm Sat 22  Feb 12:00 am Sat 22  Feb 12:00 pm Sun 23  Feb 12:00 am Sun 23  Feb 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 21U null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate)
Tropical Low 22U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low)

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pocketbox

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强台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2025-2-17 09:15 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin

This TC Potential Bulletin describes any current cyclone activity, along with details of possible cyclone development over the next five days in the Coral Sea and South Pacific area between Australia and 120W. It is normally issued during the TC season from 1 Nov to 30 Apr, but also outside this period if required for a potential or active cyclone.

Current status of cyclone activity
There are presently no tropical cyclones in the Coral Sea or South Pacific areas.

Forecast to 12:00 18 Feb 2025 UTC (1am Wed, 19 Feb NZT)
A tropical low was analysed near 21.0S 172.6E (at 161800UTC) southwest of Fiji this morning, there is no sign of any organisation and it will fill tomorrow. Hence the potential for it to become a tropical cyclone is very low. There are no other significant lows of interest.

Outlook to 12:00 21 Feb 2025 UTC (1am Sat, 22 Feb NZT)
Most model outlooks pick the development of two lows between Fiji and Niue, also between Cook Islands to French Polynesia from the middle of the week onwards, although they vary considerably on the speed of development.

The environment looks somewhat favourable for tropical cyclone developments. The chance of a new tropical cyclone developing in a region between Fiji and Niue is VERY LOW on Wednesday, then LOW on Thursday, and moderate from Friday.

For a second potential low between Cooks and French Polynesia, the chance for it to become a tropical cyclone is VERY LOW on Wednesday, then LOW from Thursday.

Issued: 12:53pm Mon, 17 Feb
The next bulletin will be issued by 1pm Tue, 18 Feb

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pocketbox

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强台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2025-2-17 22:00 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 21U
A tropical low (21U) is forecast to form in the Timor Sea and move westwards over Indian Ocean waters.
  • A tropical low (21U) is expected to form mid-week in the Timor Sea.
  • 21U is expected to move westwards over open Indian Ocean waters, well to the north of the Kimberley and Pilbara coasts, over the weekend.
  • The risk of 21U developing into a tropical cyclone increases to Low on Thursday and then to Moderate on Friday.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:42 am UTC

Tropical Low 22U
Tropical low forecast in the northern Coral Sea late in the week.
  • A tropical low (22U) is forecast to develop in the northern Coral Sea later in the week.
  • The tropical low will most likely move slowly east initially, away from the Queensland coast.
  • There is a Low risk that 22U develops into a tropical cyclone from later on Friday.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:52 am UTC


Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Wed 19  Feb 12:00 am Wed 19  Feb 12:00 pm Thu 20  Feb 12:00 am Thu 20  Feb 12:00 pm Fri 21  Feb 12:00 am Fri 21  Feb 12:00 pm Sat 22  Feb 12:00 am Sat 22  Feb 12:00 pm Sun 23  Feb 12:00 am Sun 23  Feb 12:00 pm Mon 24  Feb 12:00 am Mon 24  Feb 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 21U null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate)
Tropical Low 22U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low)

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pocketbox

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强台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2025-2-18 21:30 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 22U
Tropical low forming in the northern Coral Sea this week.
  • A tropical low, 22U, is forecast to develop in the northern Coral Sea later in the week.
  • The tropical low is expected to initially move slowly east and away from the Queensland coast.
  • There is a Low likelihood that 22U develops into a tropical cyclone from Friday, increasing to Moderate early next week.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:52 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Thu 20  Feb 12:00 am Thu 20  Feb 12:00 pm Fri 21  Feb 12:00 am Fri 21  Feb 12:00 pm Sat 22  Feb 12:00 am Sat 22  Feb 12:00 pm Sun 23  Feb 12:00 am Sun 23  Feb 12:00 pm Mon 24  Feb 12:00 am Mon 24  Feb 12:00 pm Tue 25  Feb 12:00 am Tue 25  Feb 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 22U null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 5 (Low) 5 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate) 25 (Moderate)

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pocketbox

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强台风

Super Typhoon

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发表于 2025-2-19 21:30 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 22U
Tropical low to develop in the northern Coral Sea but to remain well away from the Queensland coast
  • A tropical low, 22U, is forecast to form in the northern Coral Sea on Thursday and develop further over following days.
  • The tropical low is expected to move slowly east or southeast and remain well away from the Queensland coast for the next 7 days.
  • There is a Low likelihood that 22U develops into a tropical cyclone Friday, increasing to Moderate Saturday and High from Sunday.
Last updated
5 hours ago, 08:55 am UTC

Tropical lowsTomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Fri 21  Feb 12:00 am Fri 21  Feb 12:00 pm Sat 22  Feb 12:00 am Sat 22  Feb 12:00 pm Sun 23  Feb 12:00 am Sun 23  Feb 12:00 pm Mon 24  Feb 12:00 am Mon 24  Feb 12:00 pm Tue 25  Feb 12:00 am Tue 25  Feb 12:00 pm Wed 26  Feb 12:00 am Wed 26  Feb 12:00 pm
Tropical Low 22U 1 (Very Low) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 15 (Low) 25 (Moderate) 30 (Moderate) 35 (Moderate) 55 (High) 60 (High) 60 (High) 60 (High) 60 (High) 60 (High) 60 (High)

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9916-Bart

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台风

上海地区气象爱好者

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发表于 2025-3-12 18:02 | 显示全部楼层
可喜的系集

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破阵子·五月二十日望洋兴叹
学前聊观数值，全球各洋多旋。去年今日玛娃生，巅峰顶超撼风迷。曾想八六八。
而今极阔西太，惟有云团孱弱。风切遍洋皆死路，黑潮暖水何朝用？静待主风季。
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pocketbox

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发表于 2025-3-13 12:35 | 显示全部楼层
Tropical Low 24U
Potential low to develop near eastern NT coast next week.
  • A weak tropical low, 24U, may develop on the trough off the Northern Territory Top End coast by early next week.
  • While the likely scenario is for the system to be too close to land to develop significantly, there is a small window of potential development next Tuesday to Thursday if the system is over waters of the western Gulf of Carpentaria.
  • The risk of 24U becoming a tropical cyclone increases to Low on late Tuesday to Thursday.
Last updated
6 hours ago, 11:01 pm UTC

Tropical lowsToday 12:00 pm Tomorrow 12:00 am Tomorrow 12:00 pm Sat 15  Mar 12:00 am Sat 15  Mar 12:00 pm Sun 16  Mar 12:00 am Sun 16  Mar 12:00 pm Mon 17  Mar 12:00 am Mon 17  Mar 12:00 pm Tue 18  Mar 12:00 am Tue 18  Mar 12:00 pm Wed 19  Mar 12:00 am Wed 19  Mar 12:00 pm Thu 20  Mar 12:00 am
Tropical Low 24U null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) null (None) 1 (Very Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 10 (Low) 5 (Low)

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